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Screen Door: How Growing Support for Open Access Journals Challenges Content Markets
   
    2 August 2004
SUMMARY:
 
 
On two continents legislators in recent weeks have decided that the benefits of publishers and aggregators taking substantial profits for distributing publicly financed scientific research no longer outweigh the costs to the individuals and institutions funding that research. First in the U.S. House of Representatives and then in the U.K.'s Parliament, the proposals for opening up public research to free access have already spurred Oxford Press to join the open access journal bandwagon. Aggregators will hem and haw and lobby all they want, but the fundamental question of their value has been broached in ways that their clients are not likely to let them forget. It's time for aggregators and publishers of scientific content  to make major decisions about their futures - before the screen door hits them on the way out of the picture.

According to the Library Journal the decision was greeted with cheers by supporters of "open access" journals and by less than laudatory statements from major publishers and aggregators. In a move that is sure to engender much controversy over the next several months the United Kingdom's Parliament Science and Technology Committee's inquiry into publishing in the Science, Technical and Medical (STM) sector concluded in its report released last week that STM journals publishing the results of publicly funded research should be made available to the public without fees, even if it requires some government funding of the publishing process to do so.  Open access proponents in the UK were then boosted by  the same-day announcement by the Oxford University Press to make its prestigious Nucleic Acids Research journal completely available under open access terms beginning in 2005.

This all falls on the heels of a recent report from the US House of Representatives Appropriations Committee recommending that research funded by the National Institute of Health (NIH) be made freely available to the public within six months of publishing or immediately if NIH grant monies will cover the cost of publication - essentially an endorsement of the NIH's earlier report (PDF) recommending opening up access to public research. Clearly the push is on for public research to make it to the public that funded it without intervening subscription profits from publishers and aggregators.

These are significant and dramatic changes being called for and undertaken, but there are contravening factors. At the same time that the UK is pushing hard for open access, major European publishers still have strong EU legislation backing their rights to publishing databases, rights that will not be dislodged any time soon. At the same time though there are prominent journals poking out into the open access model, many journals, especially those published by associations that rely upon subscription revenues to keep their organizations viable, will continue to be slow to shift their revenue strategies until they can assure their survival to their satisfaction. The UK report acknowledges these difficulties but comes out on the side of the public benefit from free access. The message is in short, then: we love you, dear publishers, but not so much that we would delay real health and productivity benefits to society.

So in sum though Elsevier and other major aggregators need not start having staff pack their boxes just now, the major changes that the open access model have augured for some time are about to gain significant momentum. The door for open access may not be open fully just yet, but it's looking a lot more like a screen door these days than a hardened vault entry. Come 2005, the major challenges to profitability that aggregators of scientific journals have feared will blossom in full. To meet those challenges, what will major aggregators and associations have to do to respond to open access publication and other subscription-free models? Here are a few mid-summer thoughts for them to ponder before the chilly breeze from that screen door sets in:

  • Embrace and extend - further. It's worked for Microsoft and it works increasingly well for many major aggregators: add value that's hard to replace elsewhere via normalization and workflow integration capabilities.  With the increasing weakness of future subscription revenues, though, there's a limited time frame in which publishers of scientific journals may invest in such capabilities and an increasing exposure to companies such as Atypon that specialize in providing advanced publishing capabilities to the scientific community. Relentless client-focused efforts to improve the value of published content in the contexts that audiences value most is essential for future aggregator profitability in the scientific sector and beyond.
  • Build your content around communities. To date most publishers and aggregators have paid largely lip service to the concept of collaboration and community-developed content as a key factor in their business models.  In an open access model, community-based content and collaboration becomes one of the key drivers for establishing content value and uniqueness. This concept is especially important to associations and societies using subscription journals as the basis for their revenues: perhaps the journal may be free, but being able to share comments on it within a peer community is an essential component to providing added value. Since many freely available technologies and premium technology platforms offer this capability already, providers of community services must not rest on their laurels and assume that a well-established name will provide the needed context to gain community respect. The experience must provide superior value or it will be ignored.
  • Knuckle down and examine your business model carefully. Major aggregators of scientific research will not disappear, but the long road towards accepting that their marketplace is diminishing rapidly in scope and depth on a permanent basis may be reaching an end. Making subscription-oriented databases only more gargantuan to ensure large contracts has not addressed the most significant trend towards trying to "right-size" content purchases much as any other component in the supply chain consumed by major institutions. Normalizing content into XML formats and providing friendly user applications are important steps but they no longer suffice to deter challenges to the basic premise of en masse content database purchases. Databases are technology platforms, not marketing tools; the time to make that distinction more clearly has arrived.

In the New Aggregation, as Shore terms it, there are solutions that lead to a more serene future for major content aggregators (a new report on this topic to be released shortly), but they all revolve around one core premise: publishing, while still a noble art, is no longer a mystery to the masses equipped with powerful publishing technologies. Any solution that tries to deny that basic premise is doomed to fail sooner rather than later. Legislators in two major nations have decided that it's no longer cost-effective for society as a whole to deny this fundamental shift if science is to thrive and yield its benefits effectively. The screen door is poised to hit a few players on the way out of the picture if they don't accept that the time for fundamental changes to the premium content aggregation model has arrived at last.

- John Blossom

click here for related research on Open Access publishers from Shore Senior Analyst Christine Lamb

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